Hobbs’ Advantage Against Lake Grows as More Arizona Votes Are Counted

PHOENIX – On Saturday, Republican Kari Lake’s campaign for governor slipped further behind. Additionally, her odds of succeeding as the state’s next governor are dwindling. The latest results from Maricopa County on Saturday night increased the GOP candidate’s total by 43,795 votes. In contrast, Katie Hobbs, a Democrat, received 40,796 of the new votes.

The only problem is that it wasn’t enough to offset the fact that Hobbs has been gaining support elsewhere. Additionally, Hobbs’ lead is now 34,129, up more than 3,000 from Friday at the same time according to the updated statewide totals. With more than 2.3 million votes now counted, Hobbs receives 50.8% of them, while Lake receives 49.2%.

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Math is a problem for Lake’s prospects. Approximately 267,000 ballots still need to be counted statewide. Of those, about 53,000 are from Pima County. There have also been more votes cast for Democratic candidates. That leaves Maricopa County with around 195,000 votes.

The overwhelming majority of those come from voters who left their early ballots at the polls on Election Day. Lake has persisted in saying that they are from people who ought to strongly support Republicans. However, Lake received only 51.8% of the over 85,000 ballots that Maricopa counted on Saturday; votes that also mostly came from those same-day drop-offs that Lake had predicted would go in her favor.

And if that pattern continues for the remaining 195,000, Lake won’t be able to overtake Hobbs. Lake was silent for a while. The latest data dump from Maricopa County showed that Republicans had a somewhat larger advantage, but it was not enough to overtake Democrats Mark Kelly’s lead in the race for the Senate against Republicans Blake Masters. With a margin of victory of more than 131,000 and 52.8% of the vote, Kelly is still assuredly reelected.

Additionally, Adrian Fontes need not be concerned about his successful run for secretary of state. With 52.8% of the total, he is currently ahead of his GOP rival Mark Finchem by 126,000 votes. For Finchem, the news on Saturday evening was particularly bad.

Finchem actually fell behind in the most recent Maricopa report, despite the fact that the most recent vote tallies from Maricopa County did bias in favor of most Republicans. With the additional votes, the Democratic candidate now had a commanding lead of more than 126,000 votes and 52.8% of the total.

For the two other Democrats who are involved in tight contests that are still too close to call, the news on Saturday night was mixed. With 50.5% of the vote, Kris Mayes, the candidate for attorney general, currently leads Abe Hamadeh by less than 22,000 votes. Additionally, incumbent state schools director Kathy Hoffman is currently ahead of Republican challenger Tom Horne by just 9,400 votes, or 50.2% of the total ballots cast.